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March 27, 2006
Democratic peace in action.
(or: look dad, that was money well spent!)
Professor Rummel has a few notes from the Saddam interrogation. Take a gander at 'em before continuing reading my post.
Ready?
Being able to interrogate Saddam brings some interesting light to Jervis’ theories. In his War and Misperception, Jervis makes the case that countries might go to war even if they had all relevant information. He says that this is because sometimes (perhaps often) the domestic cost of not going to war is higher than the domestic cost of losing a war. Saddam certainly seems to have thought this to be the case...
This also proves the value of being a democracy when deciding about going to war:
A) Being that deluded about your capabilities is nearly impossible with a free press and a dedicated opposition party.
B) Leaders in a democracy almost always lose power if they lose a war. They therefore chose their wars _carefully_, so as to minimize the chance to lose office...
Democracies therefore have better information and have leaders with interests in better alignment with their countries than do non-democracies. All of this helps explain why democracies win 80% of their wars...
Posted by Andrew at March 27, 2006 07:22 PM
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